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INVESTMENTS
  ::  Science versus Reality on the New York Stock Exchange  ::
  1. Overview; Profile of John Maynard Keynes; Keynes Timeless Essay on the Stock Market

 

::  Quantitative Strategies for Outperforming the Market   ::

  1. High Growth vs. Cyclical Stocks - Important Differences in the Factors Affecting Price Performance
  2. Earnings Estimate Revisions and Earnings Surprises in Relation to Stock Prices
  3. Earnings Expectations and Security Prices
  4. Consensus estimate revisions and stock prices in declining markets
  5. Twenty Three Quarter Backtest for Twelve Indicators of Investment Attractiveness
  6. Seventy Five Quarter Backtest for Three Indicators of Investment Attractiveness
  7. Investment Characteristics of Stocks Ranked #1 (best) and #5 (worst) on the Value Line Timeliness Rating
  8. Illustration of the Importance of Value-weighted Stock Selection Criteria to Portfolio Performance
  9. Evidence on the Mispricing of Common Stocks -- The DJIA Reexamined
  10. Cycligraphs of Company Earnings and Stock Prices Illustrating Earnings Dominate Influence Over Prices
  11. Price Performance Given Perfect Knowledge of Six-month Earnings Estimates Revisions
  12. Implications of the yield to maturity calculation
  13. Selected Exhibits

 

The Capital Asset Pricing Model Revisited   ::
 

Modern Portfolio Theory and the Capital Asset Pricing Model can tell us a lot about how stock prices and portfolio values behave but very little about why they behave that way. For answers to the “why” question we must look to John Keynes and Benjamin Graham.   

  1. Review of Historic Returns for Common Stocks and Corporate Bonds
  2. Two Points of View about Risk and Return in the Long Run – Modigliani vs. Keynes
  3. The Defined Future Earnings Stock Valuation Model and the Riddle of Perpetual Claims
  4. Evidence that Articles in "The Journal of Finance" (i.e., Financial Rocket Science) are a Losing Proposition with Corporate America
  5. A Critique of Reaganomics by Paul Samuelson Transformed into an Indictment of DDM/IRR
  6. Wages on Wall Street vs. Wages for Professors of Finance - A Case Study in Market Efficiency
  7. The 1990 Nobel Prize in Economic Science Revisited
  8. Is Beta Dead or Alive?
  9. Quantum Mechanics and Capital Market Theory

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